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Re: Ford: GMs say Pierce no longer untouchable
On Feb 23, 2004, at 12:25 PM, Berry, Mark S wrote:
> My belief in Pierce is shaken more and more as this season unfolds.
> Watch him during the games. How can he possibly call out teammates,
> coaches or management when he's going through the motions out there -
> and that's exactly what he's doing. Pierce desperately needs a fiery
> leader on the floor with him and a tough, disciplined coach on the
> bench. Maybe Ainge can fill those holes and salvage Pierce. The more
> likely scenario is Ainge sees how Pierce is handling this season
> (badly,
> and Ainge intimated as much the other day), and he moves him during the
> offseason. That's what I'd do.
>
> For who? That's the hard part. Kobe in a sign-and-trade? Maybe it's a
> combination of players and picks. By all accounts, the Bulls are in the
> market for a star swingman. Would a package of Hinrich, Chandler and
> the
> Bulls' No. 1 pick work for either team? I honestly don't know. But I
> know this: This season hasn't been a complete loss. We've learned
> something about Paul Pierce.
whoa, mark. I agree that Pierce seems shaken -- but isn't that
understandable? To some degree I'd sulk too if I were he -- his best
friends are gone, the team is losing, AND their losing while playing
stiffs like McCarty....losing ugly. He's probably frustrated like all
of us -- but unlike us this is his life (well it might be our lives too
but that says something sad about us...:)
I'm not saying i agree with his GM analysis (comments about 3 worst
trades ever), but he wants to win. IMO Pierce is a player who wants
his teams to do well first (remember he stayed all 4 years in college
when he probably could have come out and been a high lottery pick), and
he happens to think (rightly so) that the ball in his hands the
majority of the time gives the team the best shot at winning. He might
be playing selfishly right now -- but i think he'll bounce back this
summer, wouldn't you play selfishly if the alternative was giving the
ball to McCarty or Atkins (when he shows up)?
I have a hard time believing that Pierce has really regressed too far
as a player. I think he's suffering more from the change in
conditions. Pierce (c. 2001) was as good a SG/SF as there was in the
league. Give him a real coach, put some more talent around him and
give them time to gel and i think he'll return to form.
I think the only players you trade Pierce for -- baring some insane
offer like McGrady + #1 pick -- are ESTABLISHED big men like Yao, J.
O'Neal, Nowitzki since they're at such a premium. For that very reason
they're likely to not be available. SG/SF are more plentiful in the
NBA at Pierce's price -- Francis, Iverson, Kobe, McGrady -- but most if
not all those players are going to have the same problems PP is having:
no coach (yet) and low surrounding talent. I'm totally not interested
in "upside" players like Dampier or Chandler or a high pick (unless its
Okafor) for Pierce -- i think we come out on the short end of that.
Pierce is a star -- chandler or #4 pick may be, but just as easily may
not be.
Here are 3 scenarios that i'd prefer/hope for (started typing before
Ray posted -- so some duplication, sorry):
1. Trade for Ray Allen and Brent Barry
As per Ainge's "we'll be talking with Seattle this summer" comments
after the trade deadline, and the report in the Dallas Morning News
that the Sonics might trade Allen this summer b/c they're afraid they
can't resign him (Allen has suggested that if the Sonics don't resign
Barry he'd think more about not resigning himself -- he doesn't want to
go through what PP is going through), I'd suggest:
Ray Allen + (resigned) Brent Barry
for
Ricky Davis, Jiri Welsch (both of whom i don't necessarily want to
trade, but who are expendable if you have Allen + Barry), Chris Mihm,
(signed & traded) Mark Bloiunt, Michael Stewart (exp. contract), & 2 #1
picks
The numbers don't quite work, but this is the gist of it. Seattle gets
picks and young, cheap talent -- which is the way they should go -- to
build around Rahsard Lewis. We end up with:
PG: Barry / Banks / Atkins
SG: Allen / (Barry)
SF: Pierce / J. Jones
PF: MLE Free agent or #1 Pick / Hunter
C: La Frentz / Perkins
PF and backup Center (Perkins might still be a year or 2 away -- but
this would force the TBD coach's hand in playing him) continue to be a
weak spot -- but with 1-3 set for years, you target those areas in the
draft and free agency.
BTW did anyone read Barry's comments RE: Celtics in the Herald (via
Hoopshype) : "While he is open to staying with the Sonics, Barry
appreciated Ainge's recent interest and is intrigued by the idea of
playing in Boston for the Celtics. ``I mean, going east is one thing,
but when you hear `Celtics' it takes on a whole other meaning for me,''
said Barry, the son of Rick Barry. ``I know the history of the game
fairly well. I've been around it . . . let's see, I'm 32, so about 32
years. I understand how important Celtic basketball is, so in that
instance being mentioned there in trade talks was flattering. It
definitely is a little different than anywhere else." Boston Herald
2. Trading Pierce --
The only player I think fits my desire for a Big man that *may* be
available -- very unlikely -- would be Zach Randolph. With S.
Abdur-Rahim and Ratliff on board, Portland may be able to fetch more
for Randolph than they'll be able to sign with the capspace from SAR,
Stoudamire, Ratliff, et al.
Something like:
Pierce + Mihm + (resigned Blount) + Detroit or Dallas' #1
for
Zach Randolph, Ruben Patterson & Derek Anderson + Memphis' pick (for
taking Patterson)
Portland retains their cap flexibilty, adds a star, while losing the
last of their capspace eaters
BOSTON
PG: Banks / Atkins
SG: Anderson / Welsch
SF: Davis / Patterson / J. Jones
PF: Randolph / Hunter
C: La Frentz / Perkins / Stewart
and the # 5, 20 and 21 or 24 picks
PORTLAND:
PG: Stoudamire / Dickau
SG: Pierce
SF: Miles / Woods
PF: Abdur-Rahim / Mihm / D. Davis
C: Ratliff / Blount
and the #12, 21 or #24 picks
and Portland still has Davis, Stodamire, Mihm, Ratliff, SAR as FA's
following season so they can go in mulitple directions with Pierce as
the anchor.
3. Lottery Hijinks --
The lowest Orlando can finish in the Lottery -- assuming things stay as
they are -- is #5. An interesting scenario would be if the Celtics + 1
or 2 other teams (worse than us) move up, something like this:
1. Washington
2. Chicago
3. Celtics
4. Charlotte
5. Orlando
Then #1 pick goes to Okafor, #2 to Livingston or Podkolzine and Dwight
Howard is there at #3 -- would Orlando trade something like (fellow
Kansas alum) Drew Gooden + their #5 pick for the #3 pick + Welsch &
Mihm ? Or Gooden, Steven Hunter, and #3 pick for R. Davis, #5, #24
(Dallas) he's been rumored to be on the block, J. Howard could settle
in at the 4 until D. Howard is ready, We end up with:
PG: Banks / Atkins
SG: Pierce /
SF: Davis / J. Jones
PF: Gooden / Hunter
C: La Frentz / Perkins / Stewart
and the #5, 21 & 24 picks, or:
PG: Banks / Atkins
SG: Pierce /
SF: Welsch / J. Jones
PF: Gooden / (Mihm) / Hunter
C: La Frentz / Mihm / Perkins / Stewart
and the #5 & 21 picks
IMO, if he's really available, we should push to get Gooden from
Orlando as the #1 off-season priority -- Orlando desperately need
talent and its stupid for them to have 2 of their 3 best players (Howrd
and Gooden) playing the same position (much like us having our 3 best
players (PP, Davis, Welsch) playing the same position (2/3)).
He's the type of quick, good rebounding PF that would fit Ainge's plan.
(the other) mark