Re: TO: ALEX WANG....

[michael t hart <thart@henge1.henge.com>]

he averages 3.7 turnovers a game, which is down from earlier in the season.

jtoney@erols.com wrote:

> I think I will take a shot at this.
>
> Walker takes about: 21 shots per game
> and makes about:  40%
>
> 17.3 are two point attempts of which he makes about: 43%
> of his 21 shots per game 3.7 are three point attempts
> of which he makes about: 28%
>
> If he were to improve his two point % to just 45%(low for his position)
> and his 3pt % to 33% he would score about:  19.1 points per game. But of
> course we aren't done yet.
>
> We must add in free throws.  Walker currently shoots about: 66% from the
> line.
> If Walker got his average to 75% he would be scoring about: 4 points a
> game just on foul shots.
>
> That brings us to a total of: 23.1 points a game.
> BUT we aren't done yet.
>
> Turnovers count too but for some reason NBA.com took them of of the
> stats or at least I can't find them.
>
> The numbers above of course assume that Walker is an average player for
> his position, but of course we expect him to be "The Man" (10 million a
> year contract). Let's give him "The Man" like numbers.
>
> 52% from 2 point: 17.8    (That would give him about
> 40% from 3 point:  4.5     50% from the field)
> 80% from the line: 4.8
> total points per game: 27.1
>
> Well I found Walker's last year turnover per game number: 2.8
> I will assume that he has about the same # of turnovers this year.
> Let's round it to 3 and say that Walker being a superstar cuts his
> turnovers to 2 a game.  This leads to at least one more shot per game
> for the Celtics who currently shoot about 43% from the field.  I am not
> going to find the exact number but I will assume that this ends up
> adding about 1 extra point per game.
>
> So we now have the ideal superstar Walker going from 21.8 to scoring
> about 27.1 points and giving up 1 less turnover a game which leads to
> one extra point a game.  We can assume that Walker with improvement will
> produce about 6 points more a game.