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different look at the trades
I know they don't shake out this way but if you take the 3 trades of
the Ainge Era apart (and ignore salaries since collectively they match)
would you do any single piece in reverse talent wise?
Antoine Walker --> Ricky Davis
Eric Williams --> Jiri Welsch
Tony Delk --> Raef Lafrentz
Tony Battie --> Chris Mihm
J.R. Bremer --> Jumaine Jones
Kedrick Brown --> Michael Stewart
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1. Walker (18.2 pts, 10 reb, 4.7 asst, 44.8 fg%, .87 stl, 3.2 to) -->
R. Davis (15.3 pts, 5.5 reb, 5.0 asst, 43.1 fg%, 1.1 stl, 3.0 to): I
was surprised to see that Davis averages nearly as many points and more
assists as Walker. Almost as surprised as I was that he shoots a lower
percentage. I see no reason Davis can't account for 90% of Antoine's
production over the last 3 years (not his production this year -- when
he appears to be playing for a contract (shades of Clemens in his final
years with the Red Sox?))
2. Williams (11 ppg, 4.5 reb, 1.2 ast, 1 stl) --> Welsch (6.2 ppg, 2.6
reb, 2.1 asst, 1.1 stl): While Williams' numbers are slightly better
you could easily argue that the Team as a whole performs better with
Welsch in there providing the glue.
3. Delk (7.5 ppg, 2.7 reb, .9 asst) --> LaFrentz (7.8 ppg, 4.6 reb,
1.4 asst): Even fighting through a knee injury LaFrentz has better
numbers than Delk (who's also been knicked up). If you flip-flop
Welsch and LaFrentz its an even closer match in both cases.
4. Battie (5.9 ppg, 5.1 reb, .87 blk) --> Mihm (6.9 ppg, 6.4 reb, 1.0
blk): Mihm is performing better even in 4 fewer minutes. Both have
battled injuries over the past few years, but Mihm seems to be over
them -- whereas Battie, sadly, may never be.
5. Bremer (4.2 ppg, 1.2 reb, 1.2 asst) --> J. Jones (2.5 ppg, 1.5 reb,
.6 asst): Bremer is playing 6 more minutes a game, while Jones ahs
been struggling with injury. This is the only one I'd have to think
about -- however I think Bremer has maxed out as a player talent-wise,
while Jones is still getting better.
6. K. Brown (5.3 ppg, 3.2 reb, 1.2 asst) --> Stewart (1.0 ppg, 2.3
reb, 1 blk): Not much to say here other than Kedrick shouldn't have
been taking as many minutes from Welsch so losing him frees Welsch up
to play more. I wish Kedrick well. Also, did you know that while
playing 81 games (21 min/gm) as a rookie, Yogi averaged 2.4 blocks a
game!?! Or that at the same height he weighs 50 pounds less than
Kendrick?
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Age-wise Davis, Welsch, LaFrentz and Mihm are all considerably younger
than the players they replaced, while Jones and Bremer are nearly the
same age.
Contract-wise Davis' is much better than even the best extension we
could have gotten from Walker; we've got Welsch locked up for 3 years
on a rookie-scale deal vs. Williams' expiring contract (i prefer the
Welsch contract); LaFrentz is much "worse" than Delk's (longer 5 vs 2
years at 2-3 times the money); Mihm's deal runs a year shorter than
Battie's; Bremer's a FA this summer, while Jones has 2 years at low
money; Stewart makes 3x what Brown does but is a FA next summer --
which means he's likely to be traded again either this summer or next
year to a team looking to clear space.
All in all I guess my point is that unlike the (esp. 1st year of) the
Baker-Kenny trade or many of the Pitino deals, we're getting better,
younger players at equal contracts.
- (the other) mark