Re: prediction

[Jamey Rallis <rallis@vgi.com>]

I think it takes more than 3 weeks to build some chemistry.

I also think Fortson is a huge piece to the team.

And while I think the best teams are not nearly as good as 2 years ago, I
also think the mediocre teams are better than they were.  So any wins you
steal from the top teams, you might end up giving back in close games to
teams you'd think would be wins.

And pointing out 2 players that started some games 2 years ago is
neglecting a lot of other changes.  Kind of like saying Steve Kerr has X
championship rings.  What about Mercer, Billups?  Not that they're my
favorite players.  Or looked another way, Anderson, Barros, Pervis, etc
are all 2 years closer to retirement.  And will Walker be better than 2
years ago?  I think so, but we'll see.

Anyway, I think 36 wins this year will be a higher East ranking than 2
years ago, with a lot of teams finishing in the 30-45 win range.  A couple
teams will catch fire and finish with better than expected 50+ records,
and Chicago and Orlando will be in the teens or 20's.

One more point, with the West kicking the East's butt this year, playing
.500 ball in the East would be about a 38-39 win season, not 41 wins.

On a brighter note, I think there's a better chance for the C's to win 42
games, than for them to lose 33.

Just my opinion, since you asked me to elaborate.  Also I'm sick of
picking 37 every year. :)

-jr

On Mon, 1 Nov 1999, kasper nine wrote:

> 
> for those of you predicting 36 wins--or a number very
> close to that one--i have a simple question for
> you...you think this team is only as good as the one
> that pitino inherited two years ago?  after all, i'm