RE: Draft lottery

[John Lyell <Jlyell@concentric.net>]

Rick Pitino must be a "List expert" as he stated in an interview that he would trade the pick if it were to be in the top 3.






On Saturday, May 08, 1999 1:03 AM, Richard & Cynthia Davies [SMTP:davies.design@worldnet.att.net] wrote:
> Nice work, Alex.
> 
> Of course, even if we got a top three pick, it wouldn't matter. I'm sure our
> list experts and future NBA coaches would want to trade him if he didn't
> bring us a title next year.
> 
> Rich D.
> (sarcasm, folks)
> 
> ----------
> >From: Alex Wang <awang@mit.edu>
> >To: celtics@igtc.com
> >Subject: Draft lottery
> >Date: Fri, May 7, 1999, 11:05 PM
> >
> 
> > The Celtics won the tiebreaker with Dallas and will have the seventh
> > position in the lottery with 37 lottery chances out of 1000. I ran
> > a simulation and came up with the following (approximate) probabilities,
> > based on one million trials:
> >   1st 3.7%
> >   2nd   4.3%
> >   3rd   5.0%
> > In total, a 13.0% chance of snaring a top 3 pick.
> >
> > Alex
> > 
>