TO: ALEX WANG....

[Ryan.Lee@parexel.com (Ryan Lee)]

     I know you're from MIT and you must have an incredible analytical 
     mind, but your calculations are vague and make no sense.  I have a BA 
     in Statistics and I currently work for a biostats company doing 
     analysis and I have no idea where you are pulling your 2-4 points a 
     game.  You just throw random numbers and percentages in and make silly 
     assumptions that make your claims look true.  How about the games 
     where Walker doesn't take 20 shots?  How are those accounted for?  And 
     what if Walker doesn't shoot 40% for a game which by the way has 
     happened alot considering his overall FG % is 40%.  You can't use 
     simple percentages and stupid assumptions to predict number of lost 
     points in this manner.  There are alot more factors involved such as 
     the number of times Walker touches the ball, number of shots missed by 
     Walker in relation to open teammates, the FG% of his teammates that 
     game and the probability they hit their shots assuming they receive a 
     pass from Antoine, etc. etc. etc. .  My estimation was just from 
     observation of several games ( you know random sampling right?). 10 - 
     15 points I admit was an exaggeration, it's more like 6-8 points of 
     lost offense a game, but 2-4 points a game is still ridiculous.  I 
     suggest before you try imposing your scientific mind on everyone to 
     check YOUR facts and your basic Stats classes out before you post 
     anything.