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Re: the Philly win



Superb post, Joe.  Thanks for making it so long, so
calm, and so reasonable.  

Josh

--- "hironaka@nomade.fr" <hironaka@nomade.fr> wrote:
> Hi list, as some IGTC posters already have noted,
> last 
> night was a type of watershed in the development of 
> Obie's team, in one specific sense at least. Even in
> the 
> latter stages of last season, how many games would
> Boston 
> have won (handily,I might add) against a .667 team,
> with 
> Paul Pierce shooting 4-20? Probably none. I actually
> 
> think that.
> 
> Boston came in at 6 per game in rebounding
> differential. 
> Stand that next to Philly (an outstanding rebounding
> team 
> this year) at a whopping +6 on the offensive boards 
> ALONE. Add in the visceral revenge motivations. 
> 
> This was a good win. Philly is well-coached and has
> low 
> turnovers (13 last night); they also average a ton
> of 
> steals (three guys averaging over 2 per game); they 
> finally have two guys at over 15 points per game to 
> complement Iverson; and also two guys averaging more
> 
> boards than Walker at last check. They might not be
> a 
> great team, but they had been playing like one.
> 
> On top of that, since we last met in the playoffs,
> Larry 
> Brown quietly added a power forward that has
> produced 20 
> and 10 so far(well, 19.5 and 9.5). On paper, the Van
> Horn 
> trade couldn't have worked out better as an upgrade
> over 
> a retirement age, non-factor center. I'm no Van Horn
> fan, 
> but I actually felt Philly didnt go to him enough
> last 
> night. He's hitting low post shots I've never seen
> before.
> 
> One more thing. Teams would be crazy not to study
> Larry 
> Brown's game-planning to defend Paul Pierce. When
> Boston 
> isolated him, the Sixers had three guys facing him,
> with 
> no obvious kickout or driving lanes in sight. I
> thought 
> it was very effective, but hey, "scoreboard, baby!"
> 
> This was a good win. 
> 
> But the actual point I wish to make in this post is
> this. 
> 
> By some measures, last night was less an aberration
> than 
> a confirmation of a trend. 
> 
> By that I mean that last night wasn't the first time
> this 
> season that Paul or Antoine have shot us into 
> probable "one of those nights" losing scenarios. 
> 
> The amazing thing is that we won not just last
> night, but 
> several nights this month with Paul or Antoine, or
> both, 
> struggling. 
> 
> To wit, Paul's season stats show a .389FG%. Antoine 
> Walker is still at .373FG%.
> 
> Saint Paul has been dribbling into the lane this
> month 
> like his arms are IV'd on novocaine. 
> 
> And despite two straight "good" shooting games,
> Antoine's 
> probably two .500 shooting games in a row away from 
> getting up to the "Mendoza Line" FG% of .400. He's
> way 
> down there.
> 
> From this rosy perspective, Boston is winning AND
> the 
> captains haven't even gotten on track yet. 
> 
> Walker and Pierce are almost certain to play much
> better 
> this year than they have thus far. Even a career
> average 
> statistical year would mean a substantial
> improvement. 
>  
> In overcoming their less than ideal start, Obie's
> and his 
> team deserve a lot of credit. BTW, we are now 
> statistically on pace (tongue in cheek, dont worry)
> to 
> win over 60 games. 
> 
> As I predicted, its becoming more commonplace for
> the 
> Celtics to make the big plays in the fourth quarter.
> 
> Pierce and Walker are in the first year of their 
> typical "prime" years in their superstar type 
> trajectories. Good talent doesn't win in the fourth 
> period. Good veteran talent does.
> 
> The difference, last night, is that Pierce and
> Walker 
> barely scored in the fourth, as we won handily.
> 
> So when fans talk about the possible return of the 
> leprechaun to the Fleet Center, my opinion is
> "there's 
> your leprechaun right in front of the bench". 
> 
> I loved that calm smile on Obie's face in the second
> 
> quarter of the Minnesota game, when they made that 
> horrific run on us (31-12 or whatever). Obie is, 
> like, "okay, we can address this just as well
> without any 
> histrionics or showboating". 
> 
> And the bottom line is that under Obie's game
> management, 
> we don't blow as many games like that anymore.
> 
> Obie was in the right place at the right time to get
> the 
> interim coaching title two years ago, but he's
> earned 
> everything else ever since IMO. 
> 
> He has apparent roster holes few coaches would want,
> and 
> yet the team's averaging over 102 point per game
> this 
> month (6-0) and playing great defense again. The
> team 
> also overcame the adversity of a crap start.
> 
> And its not like he isn't Joe Blow non-innovator or
> risk 
> takerI remember at least one post this month that 
> absolutely trashed Obie in the midst of our winning 
> streak. What he's done is original to say the least,
> but 
> its working.
> 
> All that said, this IS a winning streak. Teams play
> well 
> in winning streaks. The numbers always come out
> looking 
> good.  Grunt players look great, but they then tend
> to 
> find their level. I don't think we can get too
> excited 
> (at heart, I'm a Red Sox fan so I know that early
> winning 
> streaks mean zilch). 
> 
> This mini-6 game run is about the role players.
> 
> As others have noted, Eric Williams' career
> rebounding 
> average is one board every eight minutes (3.1
> career). 
> Not to mention just 1.4 assists per game. 
> 
> That kind of rebounding at ANY starting position
> these 
> days tends to hurt teams.
> 
> Last night, as we all saw, Eric Williams had 10
> boards in 
> 27 minutes. But what's equally impressive and 
> praiseworthy is that he had 8-rebound nights in
> three of 
> the last four games coming in as well. 
> 
> That's four games out of five with 8 or more boards
> for 
> Eric. He's totally got his hard hat on. Its amazing
> what 
> (relatively) healthy knees will do for you. He's a
> much 
> better player this year than anticipated, so far.
> 
> But Tony Battie may be replacing EW as the defensive
> 
> 
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