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Dwight Jaynes Provides An Excellent Synopsis Of The Issues



                                              
                                                                 
                       NBA fans get some straight talk: No        
                       compromises and no season                  
                                                                       
                       Thursday, November 19 1998                        
                       --------------------------------------------              
                       By Dwight Jaynes                       
                       Columnist                                 
                       The Oregonian                                   
                                                                        
                       The misconceptions about the NBA lockout        
                       have become cliches by now. There's only            
                       one 1990s way to deal with this kind of          
                       misinformation, and that's with a talk            
                       show.                                      
                                                                         
                       So without further ado, it's time for the               
                       Dwight Jaynes Radio Program, the only           
                       sports-talk radio show in the world with           
                       which you can line your bird cage.                 

                       Line one, you're on the air: "Yeah, hey,            
                                                                            
                       there is no way the employees are going to        
                       get more than 50 percent of the profits in
                                                                        
                       my business, like the players expect to get      
                       from the NBA . . . "
                                                     
                       Fine, except your employees are probably    
                       disposable. Your product doesn't change    
                                                                   
                       much even when your employees do. In sports
                       and entertainment, the employees are         
                       essentially the product. They are going to 
                       get a much bigger portion of the revenue,
                       and they are entitled to it. It's the exact
                       percentage that needs to be negotiated.     

                       Line two, you're on the air: "Yeah, but       
                       ticket prices are directly related to high  
                       salaries."
                                                                     
                       No, actually they are not. Ticket prices    
                       are based mostly on what customers are
                       willing to pay. The Trail Blazers lowered   
                       the ticket prices for the upcoming season,  
                       even though their payroll is supposed to be
                       significantly higher than it was last        
                       season. The reason? People weren't buying     
                       tickets. The marketplace drives the price
                       of tickets -- both up and down.              
                                                                  
                       Line two again: "Well, nobody is forcing
                       those owners to pay the high salaries.
                       There is no gun to their heads. Why should
                       the players protect the owners from
                       themselves?"

                       Because the players need to protect the
                       financial viability of the game itself --
                       the goose that's been laying some very big,
                       golden eggs. Remember, if there is any
                       collusion involved among owners, that's
                       illegal. And the fact is, there is all
                       kinds of pressure to pay unrealistic
                       salaries and it comes from you, the fan.
                       You demand your team be competitive
                       regardless of cost, in most cases.

                       There are a few owners out there -- and we
                       have one in Portland -- who really don't
                       care how much they pay players; they just
                       want to win. Those owners drive all players
                       salaries up, and there's not a lot the
                       other owners can do about it. That's why
                       rules are needed so that the league can
                       have some form of competitive balance.

                       Line two: "Ah, come on, the owners have
                       plenty of money, have too much at stake and
                       don't want to lose the season. They just
                       hide most of their income. They'll
                       compromise very soon."

                       This is what the players -- many of whom
                       haven't thought this situation out very
                       well -- are being told by their union
                       leaders and agents. But I doubt this is
                       correct. If what the owners say is true,
                       that many of them will lose more money by
                       playing than not playing, don't expect them
                       to cave in.

                       Think about this for a moment, if the
                       owners make a bad deal, they could be
                       forced out of business. If the players make[ ]
                       a bad deal, it would probably make the
                       difference between them earning $2.6
                       million per season rather than $3.0
                       million.

                       Now, who should compromise here? Is this a
                       difficult concept?

                       Line three, go ahead: "I don't care,
                       anyway. Nobody cares. Let them stay locked
                       out forever. I don't miss them at all."

                       A fashionable stance, but not a very
                       realistic one, I'm afraid. The reality is,
                       when the gates finally open again -- be it
                       next season or next month -- most fans will
                       return. If the league goes about its
                       image-repair work in an appropriate manner,
                       it will regain just about all its lost fans
                       within a season or two.

                       You will argue with that, just as a lot of
                       baseball fans did, but you probably will be
                       back -- especially if the Trail Blazers win
                       a first-round series some year.

                       Line one? "The owners have always abused
                       and used the players and this is just one
                       more example. The players shouldn't have to
                       give back their rights."

                       Well, there are some serious perks that go
                       with playing in the NBA. The players in the
                       league not only earn more than most
                       athletes in other sports, they have been
                       glorified more by their league than
                       athletes in any other sport.

                       The NBA has turned starmaking into an art
                       form. The league has marketed its players,
                       even created attractive personas for them,
                       at an incredible rate. And that has not
                       only led to higher salaries, but to more
                       outside income from endorsements.

                       Baseball and football never have fawned
                       over players the way pro basketball has
                       done. The NBA turns its stars into gods and
                       the players have made millions from it.

                       And finally, line two again: "This won't
                       last much longer. Both sides will cut a
                       deal by Christmas."

                       Well, there isn't much evidence to indicate
                       either side is anywhere near a deal. The
                       owners have too much at stake to compromise
                       and the players are too involved with
                       misconceptions about winning or losing this
                       war.

                       Players, if you're out there listening, pay
                       attention: Go sign the worst deal you can
                       and you've still won. You're still going to
                       earn more money than you ever thought
                       possible from bouncing a ball. Settle it
                       now, right away, before a lot of average
                       players lose a good part of their careers.
                       But if I had to bet, I'd wager this season
                       is not going to be played.

                       I'm feeling pretty sure of it, in fact. The
                       season is going to be blown up because the
                       players simply don't yet understand the big
                       picture. By the time they figure it out, it
                       will be too late to salvage anything.

                       And oh yes, thanks for tuning in.