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Here's excerpts from an article on summer tours. Similar prediction
to the sales survey--bleak outlook for new music groups.
Veteran Acts Carry Concert Tours by Larry Flick
As the summer concert season approaches, US promoters are preparing
for a busy, but safe, slate of venerable superstar acts skewed toward
Though the field will be peppered with ongoing road jaunts by teen
phenoms 'N Sync, Britney Spears and the Backstreet Boys, as well as
the debut of Nickelodeon's kid-targeted festival, few recently broken
acts are opening tours this season.
Rather, look for baby boomer favorites like Bruce Springsteen, George
Strait, Patti LaBelle, Aerosmith and Crosby, Stills, Nash & Young--as
well as joint treks mounted by paul Simon and Bob Dylan; Elton John
and Tina Turner; and Lenny Kravitz and the Black Crowes--to dominate
"The bottom line is that the new bands just aren't breaking as big as
they need to be," said Jerry Mickelson, executeve vice president of
Chicago's Jam Productions. "And with the overall complexion of the
concet business changing, it's getting harder for a new band to carry
a major tour."
Also cited as a prime catalyst in the mature complexion of the season
is the ever-rising price of tickets. "Not many people will be willing
to spend a week's pay on a show more than once or possibly twice a
season," said Danny Zelisko, president of the Pheonix-based Evening
Star Productions. "People are really going to want to see some of
these bands(to pay these prices). I don't like to cite specific
shows, but the Lenny Kravitz show is going for $50--and that's an
audience that can afford $20, $25 tops."
Zelisko adds that a key element driving ticket prices up is the
exorbitant financial demands made in mounting tours. "There's not a
lot of long-term vision right now," he said." (Acts and agents are)
asking for a fortune. And in some cases, a group is doing a major
tour before they've effectively headlined a small-hall tour."
Jerry Ade, president of the New York booking agency Famous Artists,
sees the matter differently. "People will pay anything to see a band
they care about," he argued. Ade is among those who believe the
dearth of youth-driven tours this summer can be chalked up simply to
"less interest from young people in major tours in general. Their
access to the acts they care about has changed. With things like the
internet, they don't need to wait for that big summer tour to get
close to an act they care about."
(snip listing of summer acts)
Utsick and several other promoters also cite Cher's expected tour to
do well. "She's a wild card in that she truly spans several
demographics," said Sean McGee, president of the Houston-based Big
Bang Productions. "Just about enyone from a '70s throwback to a '90s
club kid could wind up at one of her shows. In the past few months,
she's gone from being more than an enduring icon. She's back to being
In terms of festivals, only the Lilith Fair and Ozzfest are generating
much advance heat. The lineup for Lilith--a tour that will fold after
this season--won't be announced until the end of April.
(snip expected line-ups for various festivals)
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