2014 NBA Mock Draft 1.1
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Mon Nov 4 02:54:01 UTC 2013
Big men are hard to judge, but kid has some crazy moves, really athletic
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Sent: Sunday, November 03, 2013 11:30 AM
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Subject: 2014 NBA Mock Draft 1.1
2014 NBA Mock Draft 1.1
Chad Ford updates his first 2014 mock draft -- Wiggins, Randle remain on
By _Chad Ford_ (http://search.espn.go.com/chad-ford/) | ESPN Insider
In September, we launched our first Mock Draft of 2014.
Yes, it's a bit absurd to try to project players to teams when we haven't
even played a game.
But this isn't any draft, and teams are already paying close attention.
The NBA season just got underway, and the college season is just around the
Teams have started practicing, and scouts have been out in force trying to
get an early read on players.
Based on that intel, plus an updated ESPN Forecast to project the upcoming
season and a big Wizards-Suns trade that netted the Suns a potential No. 4
pick in the first round, we thought it was worth making a few tweaks to the
Mock Draft based -- let's call it Mock Draft v. 1.1: Preseason edition.
Editor's note: The online version of Mock Draft 1.1 will differ slightly
from the print version on newsstands due to the Marcin Gortat-Emeka Okafor
trade in late October.
MORE DRAFT CONTENT:
_2014 Top 30 Big Board_
incredible-depth-make-2014-best-ever) | _Ford's Top 100_
Sixers' forecast record: 16-66 | 25 percent to win lottery
Analysis: I've been very bullish on the 76ers this summer; having the best
shot at Wiggins is why. Wiggins is one of the best prospects to come into
the draft in a decade. He has NBA size, elite athletic ability and does
just about everything well. Yes, he's already getting criticized for not
living up to the hype from some of the same people who hyped him in the
place. But scouts who have been watching him still think he's the best
prospect in the draft. He might not put up the biggest numbers, but the
is so tantalizing, they'll be willing to be patient. With young anchors in
the middle (_Nerlens Noel_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/2991280/nerlens-noel) ) and at the point
guard position (_Michael Carter-Williams_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/2596108/michael-carter-williams) ), the
Sixers could add an uber-athletic wing to the mix. Combined with the No. 11
pick (see below), they suddenly have one of the most exciting young cores
the NBA. Even if the Sixers don't win the lottery, a player like _Julius
yerId=19902) , _Dante Exum_
yerId=19974) or _Jabari Parker_
would add another potential star to the team.
Suns' forecast record: 19-63 | 19.9 percent to win lottery
Analysis: Like the 76ers, the Suns feel they have their big man (_Alex
Len_ (http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/2596107/alex-len) ) and their point
guard (_Eric Bledsoe_
) of the future. Randle would be a perfect complement to Len on the front
line. He's the type of versatile 4 that most teams covet. He possesses
virtually every attribute scouts look for in a prospect. The Suns have two
first-round picks (Nos. 18, 25) to fill out the team and are also
optimistic about the long-term future of _Archie Goodwin_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/2991281/archie-goodwin) . While I don't
like the baseline talent
quite as much as I like Philly's, the Suns could end up easily rivaling
Philly as the best young team in the NBA in another year.
COLLEGE: Oklahoma St.
Magic's forecast record: 24-58 | 15.6 percent to win lottery
Analysis: This will be a tough call for the Magic. They'll likely grab a
point guard if they're drafting here and will have their choice of _Dante
yerId=19974) , _Marcus Smart_
yerId=19805) or_Andrew Harrison_
01) . Exum has been rocketing up boards this summer, and scouts are
already beginning to peg him as a rival to Wiggins for the overall No. 1
Harrison was ranked as the top high school point guard in 2013, and the
would have selected him with the No. 2 pick if Smart had declared for the
draft last season. But the odds remain in Smart's favor. Orlando loves his
combination of toughness, defense and energy. Imagine having to play
against a _Victor Oladipo_
backcourt? They'll terrorize the league. Obviously, if Smart
doesn't improve his jump shot and handle this season, he'll move out of the
picture. But for now, it's Smart's spot to lose.
Celtics' forecast record: 26-56 | 11.9 percent to win lottery
Analysis: GM Danny Ainge may be tempted to grab Jabari Parker here. He's
actually a great fit for the Celtics. With a super-skilled frontcourt of
_Jared Sullinger_ (http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/6624/jared-sullinger)
and _Kelly Olynyk_ (http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/2489663/kelly-olynyk)
and an athletic backcourt of _Rajon Rondo_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/3026/rajon-rondo) and _Avery Bradley_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/4240/avery-bradley) , Parker fits well
in between.However, the buzz
surrounding Embiid has been enormous. There are scouts who say he has
Olajuwon-like potential and that -- while he's unlikely to dominate as a
freshman -- he has the potential to be the best big man to come into the
in a long time. That much potential in a 7-1 frame might be too much for
Ainge to pass on.
Bobcats' forecast record: 27-55 | 8.8 percent to win lottery
Analysis: Draft after draft, the Bobcats continue to miss their shot at a
real franchise talent. That should change in 2014. I expect they'll be
praying for Exum if they miss out on Wiggins. They need an explosive
guard in the worst way, and Exum's ability to play both the point and the 2
makes him a perfect fit in Charlotte. With _Michael Kidd-Gilchrist_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/6601/michael-kidd-gilchrist) , _Kemba
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/6479/kemba-walker) and _Cody Zeller_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/2579258/cody-zeller) already in place,
adding Exum finally would give the Bobcats a player worth getting excited
Kings' forecast record: 29-53 | 6.3 percent to win lottery
Analysis: The Kings' two building blocks right now are big man _DeMarcus
Cousins_ (http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/4258/demarcus-cousins) and
athletic 2-guard _Ben McLemore_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/2578213/ben-mclemore) . Adding Parker
would give the team a skilled small forward --
something the Kings desperately need. And Parker might be the most skilled
forward in the draft.
Jazz's forecast record: 30-52 | 4.3 percent to win lottery
Analysis: The Jazz drafted their point guard of the future, _Trey Burke_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/2579260/trey-burke) , in June. They
great young anchors on the front line with _Derrick Favors_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/4257/derrick-favors) and _Enes Kanter_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/6447/enes-kanter) . And_Gordon Hayward_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/4249/gordon-hayward) can play both the
2 and the 3.
Gordon might be another great fit. He is an explosive player who excels in
the open court. He's trying to make the transition from the 4 to the 3 this
year at Arizona. If he improves his handle and jump shot, he could be a
lethal combo forward in the NBA and give the Jazz another elite young
to build around.
Bucks' forecast record: 32-50 | 2.8 percent to win lottery
Analysis: If the Bucks somehow can get their hands on one of those top
three point guards, they'll do it. The team acquired _Brandon Knight_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/6448/brandon-knight) in a trade this
but he doesn't have the long-term potential of Exum, Smart or Harrison.
Harrison has as much talent as Smart and Exum but slides a bit because of
questions about his attitude. If John Calipari can get him to mature --
when _John Wall_ (http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/4237/john-wall) had
all the same questions surrounding him before he played for Calipari at
Kentucky? -- then the Bucks could potentially land the best point guard
in the draft.
Raptors' forecast record: 35-47 | 1.7 percent to win lottery
Analysis: The Raptors' biggest hole is at the 4 and Saric could be a very
interesting fit. Once again, he was dominant in summer tournament play and
is widely regarded as the top young prospect in Europe. A point power
forward, he shows off remarkable court vision and is a terrific rebounder.
so-so jump shot and lack of elite quickness keep him from being an elite
prospect at the 3, but he could complete a very big front line alongside
and _Rudy Gay_ (http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/3005/rudy-gay) .
Glenn Robinson III
Los Angeles Lakers
Lakers' forecast record: 36-46 | 1.1 percent to win lottery
Analysis: At some point the Lakers are going to have to start rebuilding,
and if our Summer Forecast voters are correct, it's going to start this
season. The team really needs help everywhere. There isn't a young building
block at any position. Robinson has drawn some positive reviews from
observers the past few weeks. He should be carrying a big part of the load
Michigan this season and will gain valuable experience. If he can prove he
a reliable jumper, he'll have a long pro career.
Philadelphia 76ers (via New Orleans Pelicans)*
Sixers' forecast record: 38-44 (for Pelicans) | 0.8 percent to win lottery
Analysis: Putting Harrell on a team that already includes Noel,
Carter-Williams and, if they win the lottery, Wiggins is just plain greedy.
is a bouncy energizer who would be a great fit in Philly. He has a terrific
motor and is an excellent rebounder, and he proved this summer that his
offensive game is coming along nicely. If he has a big sophomore year at
Louisville, he might not be around at No. 11. But if he is, he'd be another
great building block for the Sixers.
Portland Trail Blazers**
Trail Blazers' forecast record: 39-43 | 0.7 percent to win lottery
Analysis: The Blazers actually are trying to make the playoffs in a very
crowded Western Conference. But if they don't, the draft is the upside.
Cauley-Stein hasn't even begun to realize his potential. He was very raw at
Kentucky last season, but when he got it going, everyone could easily see
great things to come. The Blazers don't really need another center, but
Cauley-Stein's versatility might allow him to back up _LaMarcus Aldridge_
Charlotte Bobcats (via Detroit Pistons)#
Bobcats' forecast record: 40-42 (for Pistons) | 0.6 percent to win lottery
Analysis: Selden has received raves from scouts all summer, and he has
been one of the fastest risers on our Board. He's the sort of scoring,
guard who can get his shot off from anywhere, which is what the Bobcats
lack. In short, he's a long-term upgrade over _Gerald Henderson_
Phoenix Suns (via Minnesota Timberwolves)***
Suns' forecast record: 42-40 (for Wolves) | 0.5 percent to win lottery
Analysis: Young is the true wild card of the draft. Scouts have been
raving about him in Kentucky's practices, and if he ends up dominating this
season the way he has in the preseason, he'll probably move another 10
the board. If he plays more of a supporting role, he lands here. Adding
Randle, Harris and Young to a young core that has Eric Bledsoe at the point
and Alex Len at center gives the Suns an amazing young talent base to
Cavaliers' forecast record: 40-42
Analysis: The Cavs' biggest need right now might be at the 3 and adding
Walker would be a nice fit. However, his stock has slid a bit as he has
struggled to earn academic eligibility at Florida. Walker has lottery
so he'd be a steal if he lands here.
Phoenix Suns (via Washington Wizards)&
COLLEGE: Michigan St.
Suns' forecast record: 42-40
Analysis: Harris isn't as accomplished as some of the other prospects
here, but he quietly put together one of the best freshman seasons in the
country last season, and he did it with an injured shoulder. A great
can defend and shoot with range. He could end up in the lottery if he ever
Hawks' forecast record: 41-41
Analysis: Statheads are in love with Dekker. So are teams that value
athletic wings who can shoot. Dekker had a very solid freshman season, and
are expecting a breakthrough campaign. A savvy, stat-centric team like the
Hawks are sure to pounce on him -- especially with _Kyle Korver_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/2011/kyle-korver) as the only real
3-man on the
roster at the moment.
Mavericks' forecast record: 39-43 | 0.5 percent to win lottery
Analysis: Donnie Nelson, the Mavs' president of basketball operations, has
always loved international players and probably will be bummed if Saric is
off the board. But not too bummed. Many scouts and fans in Croatia say
Hezonja might actually be the better long-term prospect. A number of scouts
spoke with have Hezonja ranked as a top-10 player in this draft. The small
forward could be a long-term solution to a hole at the 3.
Nuggets' forecast record: 43-39
Analysis: McGary is so tough to place right now. If he plays the way he
did in the NCAA tournament last spring, he'll be five to eight spots higher
on the board. Assuming he comes down to earth just a bit (and teams do have
concerns about his troubled back), this is his likely range. The Nuggets
could really use a low-post scoring option, and McGary's defensive
and motor would make him valuable to Denver.
Orlando Magic (via Knicks)##
Magic's forecast record: 46-36 (for Knicks)
Analysis: If the Magic go with a point guard with their first pick, adding
another big man to the roster would make sense at No. 20. Austin is
another player who isn't gathering much consensus at this point. Some see
a lottery pick. Others see him in the second round. Given his size and
emerging skill set, he might be worth the gamble here.
Grizzlies' forecast record: 50-32
Analysis: _Tayshaun Prince_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/1724/tayshaun-prince) obviously isn't
the long-term solution in Memphis, but Grant
has the potential to be. After a so-so freshman season, Grant impressed
scouts this summer while playing in tryouts with Team USA. A bout of
mononucleosis kept him from games but scouts expect big things this season.
Utah Jazz (via Golden State Warriors)++
Jazz's forecast record: 51-31 (for Warriors)
Analysis: The Jazz always could use more shooting, and McDermott made a
name for himself this summer with his shooting display during the Team USA
national team minicamp. He could become a solid role player with Utah.
Boston Celtics (via Brooklyn Nets)^
Celtics' forecast record: 52-30 (for Nets)
Analysis: Poythress has the potential to be a high lottery pick. He
struggled as a freshman at Kentucky, but the natural athletic abilities and
talent are undeniable. If he can earn a starting spot on this Kentucky team
assert himself, he could be a steal this late in the draft.
Rockets' forecast record: 54-28
Analysis: The Rockets are set at virtually every position, but Stokes
could be a good fit at power forward. He is very efficient, has a soft
around the basket, and will be one of the more NBA-ready players in this
Phoenix Suns (via Indiana Pacers)+
Suns' forecast record: 54-28 (for Pacers)
Analysis: The Suns already are netting a new power forward, small forward
and shooting guard in this draft. Why not add a point guard, too? Yes, Eric
Bledsoe should be the starter for years to come, but Christon's size and
toughness could give welcome depth.
Oklahoma City Thunder
Thunder's forecast record: 55-27
Analysis: Oklahoma City is the rare team loaded with both veteran talent
and interesting young players at virtually every position. The Thunder
really need anything right now, making Micic an attractive option. Micic
was terrific in the U-19s this summer and proved he could hang with some of
the top collegians on Team USA. He might be the headiest point guard in the
draft and could be a nice long-term fit in OKC.
San Antonio Spurs
COLLEGE: North Carolina
Spurs' forecast record: 55-27
Analysis: The Spurs have a way of reclaiming lost prospects and turning
them into something special. I could see McAdoo having that sort of
turnaround if he lands on a team like the Spurs. He's blessed with a number
physical tools but looked overwhelmed as a sophomore. If he really gets it
this season, he won't be around when the Spurs are drafting. But if he
continues to struggle, I could see Gregg Popovich helping him turn the
Bulls' forecast record: 57-25
Analysis: Johnson isn't even likely to start for Kentucky this season, but
that won't stop him from getting mentioned as a possible first-round pick
in 2014. He's big, has an NBA body, and likes to mix it up in the paint. If
he shows any real promise, someone will take the gamble. The Bulls lack
real depth in the middle and might be willing to take a shot on him.
Los Angeles Clippers
COLLEGE: Arizona St.
Clippers' forecast record: 57-25
Analysis: _Darren Collison_
(http://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/3973/darren-collison) will take Eric
Bledsoe's place of in the Clippers' offense this
season, but given the tiny deal Collison signed, he figures to opt out
next summer. Carson seems like a perfect fit -- a small, super-quick guard
can light it up from anywhere on the court. If he were a few inches
taller, he'd be a lottery pick.
Heat's forecast record: 60-22
Analysis: Harrison often is overshadowed by his brother Andrew, mostly
because Andrew is considered a point guard and Aaron plays a less desirable
position. He has talent and could add a potential big scoring threat to the
* The Pelicans will send their first-round pick to the Sixers if it falls
somewhere from 6-30.
** The Blazers will send their pick to the Bobcats if it falls somewhere
# The Pistons will send their first-round pick to Charlotte if it falls
somewhere from 9-30.
*** The Timberwolves will send their first-round pick to Phoenix if it
falls somewhere from 14-30.
& The Wizards will send their first-round pick to Phoenix if it falls
somewhere between 13-30.
## The Nuggets own the Knicks' first-round pick. They have agreed to send
the lesser of their own pick or the Knicks' pick to the Magic.
++ The Golden State Warriors will send their pick to the Utah Jazz.
^ The Nets owe Boston a first-round pick. However, this could be either
the Nets' or the Hawks' pick. The Hawks have the right to swap picks. Given
our forecast, it's unlikely the Hawks will swap picks with the Nets.
+ The Pacers will send their first-round pick to Phoenix if it falls
somewhere from 15-30.
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