greater risk?



gene kirkpatrick gk_tyler at yahoo.com
Sun Jun 3 07:46:33 CDT 2007


Just wondering what the greater risk/reward quotient is from trading #5.  The risk in drafting is compounded by the delay in contribution by a 20 year old.  But there are risks, too, in trading the pick (plus a player) for, say, Rashard Lewis.  Lewis is, to me, the most likely trade among the larger names out there.  He's 28.  He's a 6' 10" SM, mostly.  He scored 22 per game with over 6 rebounds.  That sounds good; Garnett also averaged 22 (but with 12 rb).  Lewis is 7 or 8 years older than draftee X, that's perhaps mostly good but gives a shorter window.  He needs 15 shots a game to be worth something to us.  Where do those come from?  Pierce, Jefferson?  And scoring is not our biggest need.  He will want big money.  Where will that come from?  Plus, he will take minutes from Wally, Green, Gomes--at least.  Is that good or not?  And the biggest question regarding trades to me:  if we don't see a championship level team for a few years out, are we not better off drafting
 for what's considered to be a top, young talent who will be coming into his own in two/three years than trading for someone who will be 30/31 then?
   
  Some of the answers are overlaid with the careers of Doc and Ainge, I would guess.  I could go either way, given the choice.  Usually I lean toward drafting, so that wouldn't disappoint me.  Oh, well.  Lots of yard work to do after all the rain down here.  Cheers, Gene

       
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