games of chance and other goofy things to do with ping pong balls

[Snoopy the Celtics Beagle]

At 08:21 PM 4/16/2007, David Van De Griek wrote:

>Snoopy the Celtics Beagle wrote:
> > Over on www.ESPN.com they have this electronic version of the NBA
> > Draft Lottery, which may or may not be as weighted by choice as the
> > real one.  But for fun, I played it 14 consecutive, once for each of
> > the first 14 picks.
> >
> > Boston got either the 1 or 2 pick only 5 out of 14 times, and most
> > often, the 2 pick.
> >
> > After all the caterwauling I've endured about people hoping for
> > losses to get this, the real thing had damn well BETTER be more
> > weighed for Boston than THAT.
> >
>If you go by the odds for the draft lottery, Boston will most likely get
>the 4th pick.
>The odds are:
>
>1st -  19.9%
>2nd -  18.8%
>3rd -  17.1%
>4th -  31.9%
>5th -  12.4%
>
>So the odds of getting the 1st or 2nd pick is just 38.7%

Let me see if I understand this...Boston has the 2nd worst record in 
the League and that supposedly gives the C's a 19.9% chance to get 
the First pick, and a 31.9% chance of getting the Fourth pick.

Talk about bad odds.  If I'd known it was THIS bad, I'd have begged 
someone to file a lawsuit to stop the Draft Lottery.  NO WONDER King 
David I dislikes the idea of the NBA in Vegas--the odds there are a 
hell of a lot better than in the lousy draft.

Snoopy the Celtics Beagle
Please visit the <http://www.celticsbeagle.net/>Celtics Beagle Website