Re: 8-man rotation

["Lance Jacobson" <lancejacob@xxxxxxxxx>]

Joe--Good post, and the numbers seem reasonable except that Delk and SWill
never played that much before.  Delk did play 27 min on the average for the
2000-1 season in Phoenix, but his rebounding and assists suffered on a per
minute basis, and the scoring was only around 12ppg.  SWill is a wild card
as well, with 18mpg that same year, and didn't have good stats except on FG
and FT percentages--and he didn't play defense even in limited minutes.

>From your math, it looks like they'll need Walter/Sundov at Center for the
minutes left over by the B Boys.  Vin's used to playing at least 35mpg when
healthy, and I'd expect to see Battie playing at least those 13 min at
Center, plus the 15 min of offtime at the PF.  Doesn't leave a whole lot for
Sundov, until Baker gets hurt. :(
----- Original Message -----
From: <hironaka@nomade.fr>
To: <celtics@igtc.com>
Sent: Monday, October 07, 2002 2:33 PM
Subject: 8-man rotation


> Hi List:
>
> Looking over the available minutes in 02-03, I don't feel
> that playing time will be a likely source of locker room
> tension for the Celtics this season.
>
> Even if Walker and Pierce play 40 minutes each (rather
> than both down to around 38), O'Brien could still get
> Baker and Battie around 30 each, plus put four other guys
> into the 24 minutes per game range: including Kedrick.
>
> For instance, here's one scenario that would give
> significant minutes (24 or more) to 8 guys, leaving
> another 10 leftover minutes for Sundov or McCarty.
>
> Walker 38 (10 at SF, 28 at PF)
> Pierce 38 (SG)
> VBaker 30 (C)
> Battie 28 (20 at PF, 8 at C)
> EWill+Kedrick 48 combined (10 at SG, 38 at SF)
> Sham+Delk 48 combined (PG)
> Sundov/McCarty 10 (center or forward).
>
> Total=240 minutes
>
> So that's a 9-man rotation with 8 guys getting regular
> playing time, plus 10-12 minutes left for Walter or
> Sundov depending on who's helping out that night.
>
> Notably, this breakdown assumes everyone is healthy and
> never misses a single game. With the inevitable minor
> injuries, there is likely to be plenty more average
> minutes to keep 10 guys happy, with 8 guys very happy.
>
> The above scenario assumes Bremer won't play as a rookie
> for Obie (like Forte and Kedrick last year). Or Bremer
> could chip away at Sham or Delks' minutes.
>
> Also Ruben Wysiwig is presumed to be a regular DNP.
>
> If Sundov and McCarty also sit, you'll see even more
> steady minutes for the 8-man rotation.
>
> And a chance for excellent team chemistry to brew.
>
> So IMO there are two fairly notable things:
>
> 1) Kedrick Brown can finally count on 20+ minutes per
> night EVEN under the expected scenario where EWill
> remains the coach's pet and Pierce rarely sits.
>
> 2) Vin Baker can still get his 30 minutes a night every
> game, without taking away from Battie's usual minutes.
>
> (whether Vin Baker will get 30 minutes worth of touches
> is a matter yet to be determined.)
>
> As for Kedrick (a big year for him), I think the only way
> he has to sit again this year (barring injury, knock on
> wood)is if Delk somehow earns 40 freaking minutes a
> night, or Walter McCarty plays "6th Man" type minutes. I
> doubt either will happen.
>
> Our hopes need to be reasonable, but Kedrick is the
> team's biggest wild card this year.
>
> He is the only one with uncharted upside, he is the guy
> who reduced Joe Johnson to a DNP-CD in Boston by mid-
> season. Now Johnson is getting nearly as much hype in
> Phoenix as any player in the lottery. We'll have to see
> which guy turns out better and can help his team win,
> Kedrick or JJ.
>
> Joe H.
>
>
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