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NY Times: Implications of Players' Concessions




          January 3, 1999

          Union Concessions Have Implications as NBA Talks Enter
          Final Week

     
          By MIKE WISE

              When players and lawyers from the National
          Basketball Players Association sat down last week
          and devised their final proposal to management, they
          finally gave up on the notion of a luxury tax and gave
          in to the owners' desires for an absolute maximum
          salary limit.

          As concessions in the league's labor dispute go, the
          $15 million figure was much higher than the league's
          offer of $12.25 million; privately, league officials
          wondered whether that nearly $3 million gap -- and
          several other economic differences -- could be closed
          in time for Thursday's deadline for canceling the
          season.

          But there was also a feeling that dramatic changes
          could be ahead for the league's salary structure.

          The players had previously agreed to capping the
          salaries of players with less than 10 years of
          experience. Billy Hunter, the union executive director,
          said the two sides are less than $500,000 apart on
          players with less than six years of experience and
          players with seven to nine years of experience.

          "We've done something that no other major professional
          sports league has done," Hunter said. "We've said, in
          effect, you can only make so much for what you do in
          this game. Even with some players grandfathered in
          under their previous deals, it's an unprecedented
          concession."

          It is a compromise in exchange for the owners' letting
          the players keep the Larry Bird exception rule, the
          clause that allows teams to compensate their own free
          agents above and beyond the team's salary cap. It is
          also a compromise that may have a wide-ranging effect
          on salaries the next 10 years.

          Under the new deal, for example, a player such as the
          San Antonio Spurs' Tim Duncan -- perhaps the preeminent
          big man for the next 10 years -- could never approach
          the riches of a Kevin Garnett, whose $126 million deal
          with the Minnesota Timberwolves last season set off
          widespread alarms. The most Duncan could make under the
          proposed plan would be about an $11 million average --
          $3 million less than what Garnett will make this
          season. Players such as the Portland Trail Blazers'
          Damon Stoudamire and the Philadelphia 76ers' Allen
          Iverson, who have a lot to do with the fan bases in
          their respective cities, could make no more than about
          $9 million in the first year of a deal.

          With 12.5 percent annual raises, there will be an
          occasional $100 million contract signed. But the
          plethora of exorbitant deals that the owners claim has
          crippled their ability to make profits should be
          reduced significantly over the next six to seven years.

          With market value having already been predetermined and
          only a set of numbers to be plugged in, there is also
          concern among the NBA agents. The bidding wars may be
          just as fierce and negotiations tense for the most
          prominent free agents, but general managers will no
          longer be frightened off by what another team can pay a
          player. They will already know.

          "The idea of going to an agent with more clout because
          he can somehow help you get the best deal may not be as
          prevalent anymore," said one league official, on
          condition of anonymity. "If you know there is only so
          much you can get, well, how much more is that special
          agent going to get you?"

          The maximum salary proposal is still at least a few
          days away from being tinkered with, along with several
          other economic issues that are unresolved.

          A standoff between lawyers on each side late last week
          over how the union's proposal would be delivered to the
          owners -- the union requested a meeting, the league
          officials said they would not guarantee one until they
          had seen the proposal -- characterized the stare-down
          state of negotiations entering the expected last round.

          Hunter is expected to quell the recent skirmish and
          have the proposal delivered to the league's office
          early this week, a person familiar with the
          negotiations said Saturday. It may not stop the
          last-minute campaigning by each side and may not
          immediately get the two sides closer to salvaging
          perhaps a 45-game season that would begin the last week
          of January at the earliest.

          Russ Granik, the NBA deputy commissioner, has said the
          chance of a settlement is remote given the union's
          reported concessions.

          And limiting what each player can make is only half the
          battle. The most important negotiation may be over
          shared revenue percentages over six years.

          In the fourth year of a proposed six-year deal, the
          union wants 55 percent of revenues to go to player
          salaries while the owners have proposed a figure no
          higher than 53 percent. In the fifth year of the deal,
          the union wants 56 percent and the owners want to pay
          out only 53.5 percent. The last year, the union wants
          57 percent and the league wants to pay only 53 percent.

          Because each percentage point is roughly equivalent to
          $20 million, the gap is only $40 million in the fourth
          year. But with more revenue, a three percent gap in the
          final year of the year could represent anywhere from
          $75 million to $90 million.

          Aside from several other sticking points, with less
          than four days before Stern and Granik recommend to the
          board of governors that the entire season be scrapped,
          they have a long way to go.

    
                Copyright 1999 The New York Times Company